📈 Why Earnings Growth Matters When You’re Valuing Stocks

Rochelle Kruger

So, you’re thinking of investing in the stock market — where do you even begin?

For most investors, it starts with the numbers: financial statements, ratios, projections. And while there are many ways to slice the data, one number tends to steal the spotlight — earnings growth.

It is not just a finance lingo, however. Growth in earnings gives you a look under the hood — showing how well a company is running, how good its management, and where it might be going.

All that aside, earnings growth in and of itself isn’t enough. The magic is when you view it relative to what you’re paying for the stock — generally through the P/E ratio or, better still, the PEG ratio.

Let’s break this down and see why earnings growth can be the difference between a good investment and one that slips away.

earnings growth

📊 What Is Earnings Growth — And Why Should You Care?

At its simplest, earnings growth is merely the rate at which the company’s profit is increasing over time.

Easy enough to understand — but not to underestimate.hink of it like this: a company’s profit is kind of like momentum. If it’s increasing steadily, that usually means that things are going well — they’re selling more, holding down costs, maybe moving into new markets. It’s something you can measure.

You wouldn’t buy a car just because it looks cool — you’d want to know if the engine works. Same goes here. A company might have a slick brand or hype around it, but if the earnings aren’t going anywhere, it’s just sitting in neutral.

👉 Quick gut check: What a company made last year? That’s old news. What matters is where it’s headed. Because that’s what really moves the needle on your investment.


💼 The P/E Ratio: Helpful, But Not the Whole Picture

You’ve probably heard of the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio — it’s one of the go-to metrics in investing.

P/E = Share Price ÷ Earnings Per Share

It basically tells you how much you’re paying per R1 of profits.

  • If a share has a P/E of 10, you’re paying R10 for each R1 it earns.
  • A P/E of 25? That’s R25 per R1 — a high price, maybe for a faster-growing business.

But here’s the catch: a high P/E doesn’t always mean a share is overpriced. And a low P/E doesn’t always mean it’s a steal.

The question is: what are you getting for that price?


🔎 Get to Know the PEG Ratio: Growth Redefines Everything

The PEG ratio forces you to consider the entire picture. It combines price and growth, so you see value more clearly.

PEG = P/E ÷ Projected Annual Earnings Growth (%)

Assume:

  • The P/E for a stock is 20.
  • It is going to increase earnings by 20% per year.

That makes its PEG 1.0 — a sign that it may be fairly priced for its growth.

Suppose another stock:

  • Same P/E (20), but the earnings are expected to rise only 5% annually.

Now the PEG rises to 4 — which is a potential warning sign unless something very special is happening.


🧾A Few Examples to Make It Real

CompanyP/E RatioExpected GrowthPEG RatioWhat It Tells You
Momentum Corp2525%1.0Growth seems fairly priced
Discount Retail103%3.3Cheap on paper, but growth is weak
InnovateX3550%0.7High growth may justify the premium
FlatLine Ltd80%N/ALow price, but no growth — red flag

🚨 Watch out: That “cheap-looking” low P/E stock might not be so attractive once you see there’s little or no growth behind it.


🧠 How Smart Investors Use These Metrics

The best investors don’t just look at the numbers — they ask smart questions based on them:

  • Is this growth sustainable, or was it just a one-off fantastic year?
  • Is it because of real innovation and sales, or just cost-cutting?
  • How does this company compare to its competitors in the same sector?
  • Can the growth projections be trusted?

Because let’s be real — forecasts can be rosy, but actually delivering on them is a different story altogether.

earnings growth

⚠️ Not All Growth Is Good Growth

Here’s something that does not get talked about enough: some companies propel earnings in unsustainably unprofitable ways.

Maybe they’re:

  • Laying off workers to save cash
  • Unloading pieces of the company
  • Cooking the books to make the numbers look stronger

Yes, it might seem like growth on paper — but in the end, it might be a house of cards.

Smarter investors dig deeper. They wonder:

  • Is the company actually bringing in more cash?
  • Are profit margins increasing, or just holding on?
  • Is cost control actually happening — or are issues being swept under the rug?

✅ What Real, Healthy Growth Looks Like

Need to find companies with good long-term potential? Look for a mix of these traits:

  • Earnings and revenue moving up together: If earnings are increasing but sales aren’t, something’s wrong.
  • High return on equity (ROE): A sign that management is investing your money wisely.
  • Strong free cash flow: Profits are good. Cash in hand is better.
  • R&D or wise growth investment: Tells they’re planning for the future, not chasing short-term profit.
  • Healthy levels of debt: Growth needs to be sustainable — not funded by speculative lending.

🧩 Other Metrics to Complete Your Picture

Although PEG is a good starting point, a few others can fill out your picture well:

MetricWhy It Matters
Free Cash FlowShows actual liquidity and ability to reinvest
Return on EquityMeasures management’s efficiency
Operating MarginHighlights profitability from core operations
Debt-to-EquityGauges financial health and risk

Think of PEG as the headline — these are the fine print.


💬 Quick FAQ: Earnings Growth & Stock Value

Q: Is a high PEG always bad?

Not always. In slow-growth industries or in times of bad economics, a high PEG might still be okay.

Q: What’s “good” growth?

Depends on the sector. For utilities or banks, 5–7% is suitable. For tech? You’ll want 15–20% or better.

Q: Can corporations fudge earnings growth?

Kind of, yes. Which means you need to keep an eye on cash flow and not solely EPS.

Q: Do I always need to chase growth stocks?

No. If you’re looking for income, dividend-paying value stocks could be the ticket. Know your game — and play accordingly.


🎯 Final Thoughts: Growth Is Powerful — But It’s Not Everything

At the end of the day, don’t just go for the cheapest stock, or the one with the flashiest growth.

Go for the one where the price makes sense for the future you’re buying into. Growth in earnings, when used with smart metrics like the P/E and PEG ratios, enables you to break through the smoke. It enables you to look not just at where a company is — but where it’s going.

And that’s where real investing success lies.